Thursday, November 5, 2009

SPX

The last couple of days the SPX has been in my opinion turning. Every time we made a turn in the market the market started to produce small body candles and long wicks. Sideways action is also a key component to this pattern, so it might take a few days for this pattern to play out.

The dollar is a big discussions out there right now, and I think that it is more important then ever. Its important to my trading whether I'm trading wheat or corn futures or trying to predict market direction. Right now I think that the dollar has more down side, with little or no support till 75.10.
I also think that gold has had too big of a move to the upside and should be either shorted via GLD or a long put spread should be set. The candle that formed yesterday on the GLD is very bearish. If you are long GLD you need to have your eyes peeled and keep a tight trail stop on your position.

To recap my thoughts; I'm bullish equity and bearish on the dollar.

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